Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.461347 8.549625 9.758494 11.203853 12.888867 14.795851 17.124083
2025-02-09 6.169816 7.610676 9.346151 11.601850 14.472814 18.026690 22.792983
2025-02-16 5.119057 6.651726 8.607037 11.306035 14.968544 19.813328 26.786740
2025-02-23 4.450483 6.030913 8.143411 11.206780 15.590333 21.720255 31.088372
2025-03-02 3.941019 5.534284 7.750324 11.103093 16.126906 23.502519 35.388628
2025-03-09 3.516132 5.093478 7.365084 10.932970 16.502542 25.043929 39.485812
2025-03-16 3.145490 4.683769 6.968740 10.679873 16.690823 26.281459 43.226554
2025-03-23 3.002266 4.595125 7.035669 11.135657 18.029862 29.484112 50.660626
2025-03-30 2.807663 4.403696 6.917713 11.271209 18.843685 31.896768 57.054143
2025-04-06 2.597861 4.165663 6.697889 11.205762 19.293648 33.716494 62.608722
2025-04-13 2.402633 3.932179 6.460723 11.079504 19.610690 35.318699 67.961011
2025-04-20 2.310301 3.861762 6.489043 11.418620 20.804948 38.679359 77.296214
2025-04-27 2.203129 3.758748 6.455420 11.649431 21.838855 41.898559 86.945347
2025-05-04 2.137793 3.723065 6.536699 12.101632 23.355532 46.278249 99.849774
2025-05-11 1.971669 3.491154 6.239892 11.794782 23.310273 47.430045 105.687332
2025-05-18 1.848905 3.328529 6.056772 11.691041 23.667480 49.474680 113.943313
2025-05-25 1.736992 3.176921 5.880896 11.582427 23.998165 51.497499 122.486473
2025-06-01 1.626965 3.020113 5.681462 11.404196 24.154203 53.141403 130.358445
2025-06-08 1.516922 2.854846 5.451764 11.139059 24.084381 54.248244 137.023963
2025-06-15 1.494292 2.859895 5.562740 11.616546 25.764929 59.752103 156.542113
2025-06-22 1.438698 2.794259 5.523502 11.758572 26.674882 63.490232 171.868976
2025-06-29 1.367095 2.690532 5.396490 11.689999 27.068845 65.975081 184.047789
2025-07-06 1.295065 2.580739 5.248035 11.557715 27.290175 68.040967 195.378329